What We All Missed About Inflation
Many try to use relative value stories, to look at prices. Because prices are relative, the saying goes, only a monetary expansion can lead to continuous price hikes. Any relative value story will get adjusted for, and then prices would stabilize at the new relative values. There are many things to consider here. When relative values change, that also changes the weights of different items in a basket. Consider the scenario with a basket of two items: apples and carrots. At the start, each is worth one dollar. A basket of one apple and one carrot would cost $2. Now, consider what happens if the price of apples doubles, and the price of carrots cuts in half. The carrots cost $0.50, but the apple now costs $2.00. The total cost of the basket has risen by $0.50 cents, even though only the ratio of the costs has changed. If carrots and apples were substitutes for each other, than you could simply switch to a basket of two carrots, saving $1. But more often than not, items in a